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10/03/2012

Winthrop Poll Questions Voters in New Seventh Congressional District

Quick Facts

 In the contest to choose the first Representative of the newly-created 7th Congressional District, 48.9% of Likely Voters selected Republican Tom Rice, while 36.2% chose Gloria Bromell Tinubu. At the same time, more than one-in-10 (10.3%) said they were still undecided.
 While almost 40% of Registered Voters were aware that they lived in a new Congressional District, almost one-third (33.0%) of them were not, and 8.4% were aware there was a new district, but didn’t realize they lived in it.

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Scott Huffmon

RESULTS OF LATEST WINTHROP POLL OF VOTERS IN SOUTH CAROLINA’S NEW 7TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT ARE IN

IN THE RACE FOR REPRESENTATIVE TO THE U.S. CONGRESS, AMONG LIKELY VOTERS, REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE TOM RICE LEADS DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE GLORIA BROMELL TINUBU BY ALMOST 13 % HOWEVER, 10 % SAY THEY’RE STILL UNDECIDED

ALMOST ONE-THIRD OF REGISTERED VOTERS SAY THEY WERE UNAWARE THAT A NEW DISTRICT HAD BEEN ADDED

ALMOST 50% BELIEVE THE NEW DISTRICT WILL MAKE NO DIFFERENCE AS TO HOW THEIR INTERESTS ARE REPRESENTED

OVER 92% OF REGISTERED VOTERS FEEL THEY CAN TRUST THE S.C. STATE GOVERNMENT TO DO WHAT IS RIGHT AT LEAST SOME OF THE TIME,
WITH ALMOST ONE-THIRD OF THEM SAYING MOST OF THE TIME

JOBS/UNEMPLOYMENT AND THE ECONOMY CITED AS TOP PROBLEMS IN S.C.

30% OF REGISTERED VOTERS SAY THEIR OPINION OF LABOR UNIONS IS NEITHER POSITIVE NOR NEGATIVE

OVER 75% WERE UNSURE OR DID NOT KNOW WHO THE LT. GOV. OF S.C. IS WHILE A SIMILAR NUMBER WERE UNABLE TO NAME THE
CURRENT CHIEF JUSTICE OF THE U.S.

NEARLY 88% OF REGISTERED VOTERS SAID THEY DID NOT CONSIDER THEMSELVES MEMBERS OF THE TEA PARTY

ROCK HILL, S.C. - The results of the latest Winthrop Poll, of 981 registered voters living in South Carolina’s newly formed 7th Congressional District are in. The survey was in the field from Sept. 23-30, 2012. After weights (for sex, age, and race) have been applied, results which use all respondents have a margin of error of +/- 3% at the 95% confidence level.

NOTE: The results presented for the 7th Congressional race are only of Likely Voters and have a margin of error of approximately +/- 3.5%. Reported results using a subset of the entire sample will naturally have a higher margin of error.

For additional information on methodology, see here.

For questions and responses, see current findings.

Among the Winthrop Poll findings:

• In the contest to choose the first Representative of the newly-created 7th Congressional District, 48.9% of Likely Voters selected Republican Tom Rice, while 36.2% chose Gloria Bromell Tinubu. At the same time, more than one-in-10 (10.3%) said they were still undecided.

• While almost 40% of Registered Voters were aware that they lived in a new Congressional District, almost one-third (33.0%) of them were not, and 8.4% were aware there was a new district, but didn’t realize they lived in it.

• Almost one-half of Registered Voters (49.6%) felt that despite the fact they were in a new Congressional District, they would see no change in how their needs are addressed. Still, almost one-in-three (31.2%) felt that being in the new district would mean their interests would be better represented.

• Registered Voters were almost equally divided (49% compared to 46.6%) on whether anyone who works hard enough can become financially successful in America compared with the idea that hard work alone is sometimes not enough to achieve that.

• Despite the fact that S.C. is a “right to work state,” and its lack of unions has been cited as the reason why some businesses are relocating to the Palmetto State, nearly one-third of Registered Voters (30.3%) said their opinion of Labor Unions was neither positive nor negative.

• Only 5.3% of registered voters in the district correctly identified Glenn McConnell as Lt. Governor while more than three quarters (76.9%) didn’t even hazard a guess. Andre Bauer, the former Lt. Gov., was most often cited (by 10.4%).

• Even as the U.S. Supreme Court begins its new term this week, less than one-in-four Registered Voters (22.1%) was able to identify John Roberts as the current Chief Justice, while 72% were either not sure or did not know who it was.

• Among Registered Voters, the number of respondents who said they were not members of the Tea Party was decidedly significant. While 87.9% said they were not, a mere 6.9% said they were.

• Over one-half of Registered Voters in the new district (54.6%) felt that our country was headed in the wrong direction, while they were about equally divided as to whether that was also true of South Carolina, with 42.4% saying we are on the wrong track and 40.9% saying the state was on the right track.

Jobs/Unemployment and the Economy were most often mentioned by Registered Voters as the most important problems facing S.C., with 33% naming Jobs/Unemployment as their top concern, and 18.9% identifying the Economy as the state’s chief headache.


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